
Tyler might be right.
Each category had a standout winner or two. Then people predicted the dawn of a new age. But the followups were disappointing.
- In VR, Oculus got acquired… and then basically nothing happened?
- "Uber for X" is just Uber/Lyft… and maybe a couple delivery companies?
- The sharing economy is Airbnb… and nobody else?
- Blockchain made some speculators rich… but there are no applications?
- IoT… has somehow just made appliances worse?
Not all trends are like this. PCs, the web, e-commerce, and smartphones all took off immediately and never looked back.
What's like that now?
My winners:
- The creator economy and making content online. Everyone has a YouTube, a Substack, a podcast, a Twitter account, or an OnlyFans (under an anonymous username of course).
- Indie hacking. Everyone with the skills to build something is trying to build something, whether they can raise money or not.
- B2B tech businesses. Zoom, Cloudflare, Stripe, Fiverr, Webflow, Airtable, Notion, are all huge. Boring products selling to tech businesses. Don't bet against the internet.
What else?