5
0 Comments

All of the "next big thing" trends have fizzled

Am I missing something or have basically all of the “next big thing” trends in VC basically fizzled for like 10 years? VR, Uber for X, Sharing Economy, Blockchain, Drones, Smart Devices/IoT (feels like a Luke warm success)

Tyler might be right.

Each category had a standout winner or two. Then people predicted the dawn of a new age. But the followups were disappointing.

  • In VR, Oculus got acquired… and then basically nothing happened?
  • "Uber for X" is just Uber/Lyft… and maybe a couple delivery companies?
  • The sharing economy is Airbnb… and nobody else?
  • Blockchain made some speculators rich… but there are no applications?
  • IoT… has somehow just made appliances worse?

Not all trends are like this. PCs, the web, e-commerce, and smartphones all took off immediately and never looked back.

What's like that now?

My winners:

  • The creator economy and making content online. Everyone has a YouTube, a Substack, a podcast, a Twitter account, or an OnlyFans (under an anonymous username of course).
  • Indie hacking. Everyone with the skills to build something is trying to build something, whether they can raise money or not.
  • B2B tech businesses. Zoom, Cloudflare, Stripe, Fiverr, Webflow, Airtable, Notion, are all huge. Boring products selling to tech businesses. Don't bet against the internet.

What else?

posted to
Icon for series The Chatter
The Chatter
on December 12, 2020
Trending on Indie Hackers
I shipped a productivity SaaS in 30 days as a solo dev — here's what AI actually changed (and what it didn't) User Avatar 305 comments I built a tool that shows what a contract could cost you before signing User Avatar 109 comments The coordination tax: six years watching a one-day feature take four months User Avatar 72 comments My users are making my product better without knowing it. Here's how I designed that. User Avatar 60 comments I changed AIagent2 from dashboard-first to chat-first. Does this feel clearer? User Avatar 33 comments Stop Treating Prompts Like Throwaway Text User Avatar 14 comments