I passed up an opportunity to make $200K in revenue from my microstartup

Technically its 50k in revenue for you and 200k total for AppSumo right?

Very solid reasoning. I don't think anything is wrong with applying and then figuring out that it's not worth it. That's the entrepreneurial way (at least for me), and correcting things that sounded better on paper is absolutely fine.

I like how it's really a long-term financial decision. Ignore short-term gains to avoid long-term losses. Top-notch decisionmaking.

My experience with appsumo is quite opposite. They are getting in front of an audience that I cant get to, and at a price point they cant get anywhere else.

Meaning they are customers who would not buy at your normal price.

Sumolings who love you will defend you and promote you.

Interesting read, sounds like you've really thought it through. I guess I'm a little in the dark since I don't know what AppSumo is, but I presume it's like an app review newsletter that also looks for revenue sharing for being part of their newsletter?

I can't wrap my head around how something like that ever became popular with people, it seems vampiric to both apps as well as users.

AppSumo takes a 75% commission?? That seems unreasonably high!

What're the differences between your product and other similar products like Hyperping or Pinger? You all charge similarly, and provide similar value.

yeah big jump in users too fast too early can cause more issues than it's worth