I'm a developer, and this is how I believe AI will replace my job

My view is that it is highly unlikely. At best it can write functions for you. Technically you need near realtime update of the model to keep up with latest versions of libraries and frameworks.

I was using ChatGPT recently to help write an aws deployment script. Since its "intelligence" is derived only from source documents, the resulting code contained syntax errors present in the official documentation. Any engineer could easily spot these errors. If singularity is currently impossible, then how will the AI "know" the code is correct? It would have to execute the code in context and learn from the output by simultaneously executing billions of code combinations. Perhaps someday but seems on the same trajectory as nuclear fusion.

Wow! What an eye-opening read. Up until now, I'd only read opinions from the media sensationalizing and catastrophizing the situation or from non-developers who seem to think they've found a quick hack in using AI to get ahead of those who have studied for years to be developers/coders etc. But now an actual developer is confirming the worst - sad times!

I don't know about ya'll, but I'm really looking forward to being the magical guiding hand that controls the change of large scale systems without having to type into a light bright.

I was playing around with OpenAI's models today and I can say I definitely can see AI being more of a tool than a threat to be honest

I see a lot of developers here in doubt that AI can replace them.

How many tech companies are there? How many employees do they need? What do you think the boss will do when he can paste in an email chain and get working software?

Do we even need programming languages anymore if ChatGPT can just generate assembly eventually?

Hell it could probably just print out circuit boards that do what you want. Who needs software anymore.

(I'm talking about the future of AI too) Remember this is a young field with lots of room for improvement.

Anyways, really tough question, but that's my standpoint.

I was a web engineer and with everything I've seen I still don't think AI is going to replace people at jobs. Maybe junior engineers or folks who are doing repetitive low-value tasks.

Unless there's a version of ChatGPT that's highly specialized for a particular type of coding and with a lot of context from a codebase, there's no "fear" of getting jobless.

Thanks for the write-up, @londoner. That was a very thoughtful read.

Interesting article and interesting read. I am a software engineer myself as well, but I do see it a bit different. Writing code is something that can be very generic, but mostly (especially with complex systems) is very contextual. Especially when it comes to (specific) business logic.

In the more simple and generic area’s of coding ChatGPT is very much a booster and an addition in my perspective and I use it for a lot of routine, generic and day to day coding, for example: putting together unit tests, which I in turn just have to check, modify a bit and move on.

Replacing software engineers? I don’t think so, not for a long time. Changing our work and the role of the software engineer, boosting our productivity and enhancing our work, definitely yes in the (near) future.

Everything I do is in the creative field so AI is kind of frightening right now. I do believe that there will always be a human element required for real creativity. But many people who would have paid an artist in the past will be okay with whatever cheap art they can get from AI.

I think the coolest thing about GPT-3 is that it lets you basically search for snippets in alternate languages (not programming languages).

Generating explanations of WeChat Code/Docs in plain English without having to go through the whole translation process was super helpful for me. I wonder if English will be less required for solo hackers from non-English speaking countries.

technology is evolving fast

I'm not agree with you!

Your right but it not the true for all the time no doubt AI bring evolution but no matter how much smart car you have you need a driver to run it. You car can not do every thing.

Programmers are indeed listed on https://deathbyai.com

But the solution to extend our survival is also there: corrupt the training data!

Nice post. I think it is up to us humans (developers) to put forward our greatest asset: our ability to adapt

Yes Ai will replace more job in future

Good notes. I jotted down my thought here (though not for Software Development alone)

https://anji.blog/chatgpt

AI would most likely solve a lot of regular tasks that currently have paid human employees do. And as more improvements are made especially with high-level output, AI would gradually creep into that exclusive cadre of the high-skilled. This however doesn't mean that there would be an unemployment crisis, instead, I would assume that more trajectory would be created to absorb this personnel who may lose their jobs to AI.

Thanks for sharing..
https://blockgum.com/

I'm a software dude who has never tried ChatGPT cause im in Vietnam.

AI most certainly will replace most jobs. Most jobs humans do are there because we're still too dumb to automate them.

The real question is, how will the economy survive when OpenAI has all our money?

Art?

There's alot of context required to fully automate programming. We're at-least 10-20 year out before this is even reasonably possible. Programmers get paid for business logic not really code, especially at large enterprise companies. No code solutions already exist at many of those place since the skill levels are low.

Also- fixing a bug is a very human thing. Thing's that work programmatically are bugs to users because it fails to account for X or doesn't show X the way I like it. These are going to be tough for AI to comprehend

Interesting. I’ve been also using it lately as a google/stack overflow replacement. In a lot of cases it gives me better/more specific answers.

I've a straight thought, your jobs can't be replaced! But could be optimized.