My break-even math says this product alone won't get me to $2K MRR

I did the break-even math on my distribution framework ($39-$149 one-time, price goes up $10 every 5 sales) and the numbers are honest about where I stand.

At a price of $49, I need 41 customers to hit $2,000 MRR. At 10 customers a month that's about 4 months to get the customer count. But I'm eating costs every month while slowly building up, so this is not sustainable.

3 sales so far. 38 to go

The interesting part is the progressive pricing. After 40 customers the price hits $119 per unit. At that point I'd only need 17 customers in a month to cover $2K. The early customers are the hardest and cheapest. The later ones are fewer and worth more. That's the whole point of the model, but seeing the actual curve makes it more real.

Here's what the math told me I'm not doing enough of:

I'm not getting enough eyeballs. 387 visitors last month, 84% bounce rate. Three sales came from community posts and one cold DM. X drove 107 visitors and zero sales. The traffic I have converts, there's just not enough of it.

One product probably isn't enough. Even if I nail distribution for this one, $2K MRR on a one-time purchase with progressive pricing requires either a lot of customers or a second product generating revenue alongside it. I'm building free SaaS tools (calculators for churn, CAC, LTV, break-even) to drive organic traffic, but those take months to compound.

I used the break-even calculator to get my numbers, try it here:
beyondfolder.com/tools/break-even-calculator

The part that was most useful for me was modeling different scenarios. Seeing how the price increase curve changes the break-even timeline made me less stressed about the early slow months and more focused on just getting the next 5 sales to trigger the next price bump.

Anyone else running a progressive pricing model? Curious how the early math compared to what actually happened.