My pricing rests on one unproven bet. Tell me if I'm about to learn it the hard way.

The bet: users don't punish you for price. They punish you for unpredictability.

I'm launching an AI platform in January into a market that has learned to hate credit systems. Read any AI builder community: "credits disappear," "can't predict my bill," "I'm paying the AI to fix what the AI broke." So I designed the whole pricing around predictability instead of cheapness, and I won't know if that's right until real users vote.

What that means:

A public price list per action (generate 60, change 0.5, AI task 0.4, run 0.02). One currency, no separate meters.

Credits roll over a month. The meter reset is the most hated behavior in the category, and the margin it protects looks tiny to me.

Those of you with expiring credits, is there a reason beyond revenue-smoothing that I'm missing?

No usage-based billing without a ceiling, no "unlimited," no expiring top-ups.

The part I keep second-guessing: our entry tier is $59 for 500 credits, which is not the cheapest number in the category. I could do $29 and fewer credits. I chose a higher floor and more room because I think a new user hitting the ceiling in week three costs me more than the lower price would win.

So, people further along than me: when you look at your actual churn reasons, was it ever the price itself or was it surprise? The bill you didn't expect, the meter that reset, the paid re-do of something that failed? And did anyone here lower friction instead of price and see it work?