Hi,
My name is Nadir Mansor and i have been a sales professional within the SaaS space for the past 5+ years working across different sectors mostly in startup environment and with different buyer personas both as a SDR and AE (SME & Enterprise).
On avg the top line conversion rate (this is your initial outreach to any prospect to schedule a call and potentially create an opportunity) sits anywhere between 0% and 5%. Bottom line conversion rate on the other hand (Anything that progresses from opportunity created all the way to deal closed won) the ideal expected avg by management is 20%-30% which fits the overall SaaS market average. Anything above that is considered excellent conversion for an account executive (closer).
The rule of 10 says that for any startup to prove product market fit they need to acquire their first 10 cuatomers. These early adopters may then pave the way to a better product lead development strategy. This is to also say that the first 10 customers and they way you sold them onto your product will not necessarily be the same approach as you aspire to grow and acquire more customers.
Questions I have learned to ask to better forecast sales numbers are:
Sales is indeed an art and a science. your forecass will never be perfect but having an understanding of historical performence and tracking the above various metrics, will not only allow you to assess the weak points and improve those as well as the strong point and maximize those. Thus ultimately improving on the conversation rates for more wins for your business and keeping a cleaner. and healthier pipleine of opportunites forecasted to close.
Thank you for reading this far. Hope this helps. Wish you the best for this year.