
Claviqo
Before you trade — see what history says.
Gold falls and someone says "dollar strength." Tech drops and it is "rate fears." Bitcoin rallies and the explanation arrives after the fact, confident and unfalsifiable. Nobody checks whether any of it was true. The explanation disappears and a new one takes its place the next day.
No way to know whether the reasoning behind your last decision had any historical basis at all or if you were just flipping a coin.
That has been bothering me for years. I spent a long time in finance watching people explain markets with total confidence and zero accountability. So I built the tool that holds itself accountable automatically.
Every day, Claviqo generates an explanation for why each tracked instrument moved. The next session, it automatically quant checks that explanation against real closing prices and publishes the result — not just whether the direction was right, but what the price actually did 1, 3 and 5 days after a move like the one it explained. Every outcome published. Every miss included. No human in the loop for any of that.
Current alignment rate: 47%. Random chance is 50% — a coin flip. That number is on the homepage.
The system was built to push that rate above 50% and it improves as the graded sample grows. No other source shows you this. They cannot. They never published the misses.
We currently track 76 instruments across equities, FX, metals, energy and crypto. That number grows. Search any ticker, if it is not tracked yet, request it and we add it. We are building toward a verified historical record for every instrument in the market.
16 days live. Solo founder. Zero paid marketing.
I am genuinely here for advice from people who have been through this. The product is live and real, but getting the right eyes on it is where I am stuck. Two questions: how did you find your first paying users when your core asset was a record that needed time to mature? And has anyone here successfully used raw verified data, not features, not copy, but as the distribution angle itself?
claviqo.com — Markets explained. Historical record only. Not a forecast.
About
I built Claviqo because nobody ever checked if market explanations were right. Now every one is quant checked and published, including the misses.

1 Comment
The strongest angle here is not “market explanations.”
It is accountability.
Most market commentary gives a confident reason after the move, then disappears before anyone checks if it held up. Claviqo’s edge is that the explanation has a public record and can be wrong in the open.
That is rare, but the distribution risk is that traders may still treat it like another market-data tool unless the use case is sharper.
I’d probably test this with people who already distrust narrative-driven market takes: active retail traders, macro/FX traders, crypto traders, and finance creators who need receipts before repeating a thesis.
The question is not “who wants market explanations?”
It is: who is tired of explanations that never get graded?
Happy to map the tighter first-user version if useful. The key is turning the verified record into a reason to pay attention now, even while the dataset is still maturing.