Should I Quit My Job

Free Monte Carlo simulator for your quit-or-stay decision.

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July 19, 2026 Should I Quit My Job? – A Monte Carlo simulator for the decision, not a gut check

I've been building LifeOdds (a Monte Carlo decision engine for big life choices) and kept coming back to "should I quit my job" as the single most universal, highest-stakes version of that problem. So I looked at a dozen existing calculators for it to see how they handled the two genuinely uncertain variables — how long a job search actually takes, and what you actually land. Every one treats both as fixed inputs. Pick a number, get an answer, done. I thought that's not a simplification, it's most of the real risk in the decision, hidden.

So I built Should I Quit My Job to run it properly: 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations over a 5-year horizon instead of one guess. Four inputs — current salary, target salary, expected search length, savings runway — and it varies the uncertain ones across realistic ranges (searches consistently run longer than people expect), compounds raises on both paths, and reports the break-even month, your odds of being ahead at year 1/3/5, and the case every single-point calculator misses entirely: your search outlasting your savings before you land anything.

One thing I'm genuinely undecided on: an optional fifth input for how the new role would actually feel day to day, converted to a rough yearly value using real compensating-wage-differential research (not a random slider). Feature or scope creep? Curious what this community thinks.

Free, no signup, fully client-side — nothing you enter leaves your browser. It's a standalone piece of the bigger LifeOdds engine, but you don't need to know or care about that to get a real answer here.

Genuinely curious whether the variance ranges hold up — if you've run a job search recently, does the search-length spread match what you actually experienced?

1 Comment

  1. 1

    The Monte Carlo model is a strong foundation, but I'd keep validating what people are ultimately hiring LifeOdds to do. The bigger opportunity may not be producing more accurate forecasts—it may be helping people understand which uncertainties actually deserve to shape a high-stakes decision before they commit to it.

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Every "should I quit" calculator treats search length and landing salary as fixed numbers, not the ranges they really are. That hides most of the real risk. This one runs 1,000 simulations instead.